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Semiconductor Surge and Mega-Cap Strength Drive Another Record Close

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite extended their record-setting run, propelled by outsized gains in mega-cap technology names and a powerful rally in semiconductors. The advance was highly concentrated, with leadership from a narrow group of stocks masking more muted performance across the broader market.

At the center of the move was Intel, which surged more than 23% after delivering a better-than-expected Q1 report and a strong forward outlook. The earnings-driven breakout helped ignite a broader rally across chipmakers, lifting the PHLX Semiconductor Index by 4.3% and pushing its gains to nearly 40% since the end of March. NVIDIA also contributed meaningfully, continuing to benefit from sustained AI-driven demand.

That strength kept a firm bid under the information technology sector (+2.5%), which, alongside gains in the consumer discretionary sector (+1.4%) and communication services sector (+0.9%), was sufficient to lift market-cap-weighted indices higher. In contrast, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (-0.2%) and the equal-weighted S&P 500 (-0.2%) finished lower, underscoring the narrow breadth of the rally.

Momentum across large-cap growth stocks remained a defining feature. The Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF advanced 1.6%, supported by gains in Amazon, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, and Alphabet. These names strengthened into the close, reinforcing their role as primary drivers of index-level performance.

Beyond earnings, the session featured a mix of corporate and macro headlines. U.S. Department of Justice dropped its criminal probe into Jerome Powell, removing a layer of uncertainty around the Fed leadership. Meanwhile, Procter & Gamble delivered a solid earnings report, contributing to selective strength in consumer-facing names.

Geopolitical developments remained fluid. Reports suggested the U.S. and Iran could potentially engage in talks in Pakistan over the weekend, though details remained unclear regarding whether direct negotiations would occur. Oil markets reflected that uncertainty, with crude briefly approaching $98 per barrel before settling 1.4% lower at $94.42.

Equities largely absorbed the geopolitical ambiguity, maintaining a constructive tone that has persisted since the initial ceasefire framework. The prevailing assumption appears to be that near-term developments will not materially disrupt global economic activity.

Still, underlying weakness was evident in several sectors. The health care sector (-1.4%) lagged notably, pressured by declines in Eli Lilly and HCA Healthcare, the latter weighed down by softer-than-expected patient volumes. Additional laggards included the industrials sector (-0.9%), financials sector (-0.6%), consumer staples sector (-0.4%), real estate sector (-0.4%), and energy sector (-0.3%).

In sum, the session reinforced a familiar pattern: strong index gains driven by concentrated leadership in semiconductors and mega-cap growth. While momentum remains firmly intact, the narrow breadth suggests the market’s advance continues to rely heavily on a limited group of high-impact stocks.

Our FTinvest 11 model portfolio slipped 0.06% to close at 1,009.80, posting a nearly flat session as the portfolio continues to consolidate above the 1,000 level. The index remains below its all-time high of 1,039.51, with recent movements reflecting a pause following the earlier rebound.

Based on the start-of-year level of 928.18, FTinvest 11 is now up approximately +8.79% year-to-date, maintaining solid gains despite minor day-to-day fluctuations. The portfolio continues to demonstrate resilience, supported by its disciplined, value-driven approach as it navigates a more balanced market environment.

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